How do rising energy prices affect the economy?

» 8 Comments | Post a Comment

Energy prices are starting to soar again.

Oil prices, for starters, have broken free of the fundamentals that usually rule the market and are rising despite a glut in surplus crude oil. Benchmark crude climbed to its highest level in eight months yesterday, touching $73.23 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Gas prices at the pump have been surging, too, reaching a national average of $2.63 a gallon, with Richmond-area prices nearly 20 cents cheaper.

What could spiking prices mean for a country trying to break free of a recession? Is there a risk that expensive oil and gas will make it harder for the economy to recover?

Here are some questions and answers about the economic consequences of high energy prices.

How do rising energy prices affect the economy?

Americans buy so much gasoline that a $1 increase in pump prices means a $140 billion annual hit on the economy. That's $140 billion that won't go into savings accounts, college funds, restaurants or toward movie night. And economists believe that more spending is what is needed to help pull the country out of recession.

Rising gas prices, along with high unemployment rates around the country, likely will force a lot more belt-tightening this summer. This year, though, consumers may have a much milder reaction to expensive gas than they did last year, when oil spiked to more than twice its current price, UCLA economist Edward Leamer said.

"The first time you get slapped in the face, it hurts," Leamer said. "The third or fourth time, it feels kind of normal. So that's what you're seeing now. You don't see people getting as irate when they see the price of gas go up."

Which industries are most affected by rising energy prices? And if I work in an unrelated industry, will I feel the effects?

Energy-intensive industries such as shipping companies, airlines and trucking companies are hit hardest -- but it does filter down to nearly everyone. For example, airlines pointed to higher fuel prices last year when they cut flights to smaller hubs and started charging for checked bags, better seats in coach and other items that were once free. When oil prices dropped earlier this year, many of the fees remained. Does all this mean it might take longer to emerge from the recession?

It's possible. Spending more on gas, heating oil and other petroleum products can leave businesses with less money to hire new workers or give raises. Consumers would have less to spend as well, and the economy would take longer to heal.

If we're in a recession, why are energy prices spiking -- and how long can this go on? Am I going to be paying $3 for a gallon of gas? How about $4?

Energy prices can fall when an economy slumps, as manufacturers shutter factories and laid-off workers keep their cars off the road. But gas prices usually rise in the summertime as leisure travelers hit the road and refiners switch over to more expensive blends of gasoline for environmental reasons.

Many experts are predicting a gradual drop in gas prices this year. However, many states like California already are seeing prices of $3 a gallon in some places.

Advertisement

 
View More: gasoline,energy,business economy,
Not what you're looking for? Try our quick search:
 

Advertisement

Reader Reactions

Flag Comment Posted by J-Reb on June 12, 2009 at 11:34 pm

Sorry, but I must object to the insinuation that all SUV drivers are fat, stupid rednecks yakking on their cell phones.  Recent studies actually indicate that only 75-80% of SUV drivers fit that description.  So in future let’s be a bit more tolerant and understanding, mmkay?

Seriously, where I live, in suburban Richmond, most families have three and four SUVs each.  A big macho one for Dad, another one for Mom, and one for each of the kids.  Some families have five plus a pickup truck and minivan. 

But it’s so much easier to blame them A-Rabs or the gummint or speculators.  If you didn’t waste so much fuel, we’d all use less, and it would be cheaper.  Simple as that.  Every gallon you waste now is one less we’ll all have WTSHTF.

But to be responsible, you might have to look at your own culpability.  Oh, the horror!

Flag Comment Posted by Jack on June 12, 2009 at 9:17 pm

Any actions that cause the speculators to lose money and/or their jobs would be a benefit to citizens. They are responsible for most of the pain inflected on all of us. Instead of the innocent victims they created it should be them losing jobs, losing their homes and eating at the soup kitchen. Scum is too good a word to describe them.

For every dollar they make means someone has to lose a dollar.

Flag Comment Posted by jkang on June 12, 2009 at 9:05 pm

As always, speculators always find some way to screw everyone else over.  If you think about it, rising oil and commodity prices last summer kept the Fed from reducing interest rates—a move that could have helped with the current recession.

Now, the speculators are at it again, causing everyone trouble.

The US Government should start tapping into the strategic reserve—sell at current rates to flood the oil market even more, causing the speculators to panic and drive the price of oil down; then buy back at the lower price.  It could help make up for the outrageous deficits we’re running, and also send a messenger to the speculators that they will be fvcked if they drive up rates with their greed again.

Flag Comment Posted by Jack on June 12, 2009 at 4:00 pm

It is not the oil companies that are driving up the price of oil. It’s our own citizens, kinfolk, friends on wall street who with their greedy speculating are driving the cost of a barrel of oil new highs this year. Most economic experts say there is no factual reason for this as supplies are up, demand is down and there is ample stocks on the market. It’s greed! Pure and simple greed. The same greed that caused us to lose 1.3 trillion in net worth the first quarter of 2009 on top of losses in 2008.

Until regulation is imposed on the unruly crazed mob that are pictured on the trading floor we will continue to be robbed and raped by their greed. It’s time to neutralize them once and for all.

Flag Comment Posted by Whitty1 on June 12, 2009 at 3:48 pm

Regulation is the problem not the answer. Remember George W Bush tried twice to open up more of Alaska for Oil Drilling, but it was voted down twice along party lines. WHY do we have 50 different blends of gasoline which cost more to produce? Why do government regulations only allow all of your refineries to be in the Hurricane ally?

Big Oil is an easy target, but the real blame goes to our do nothing congress and the Democrats that keep sucking up to the tree huggers that block any production of domestic energy. There has not been a refinery built in this country in over 30 years. The Dems and Obama’s ‘s answer is to force Americans into these tiny little unsafe beer can cars. The Tree huggers think Americans live too good and they are doing everything they can to lower the living standards of Americans. Don’t forget, China is still buying all the resources they can get their hands on while we are keeping all the oil we have in this country off the markets. We are floating on Oil and there has been many new finds in recent years, but regulations are the main thing keeping them off the market.

Flag Comment Posted by ddub28 on June 12, 2009 at 10:28 am

It’s amazing that so much focus is being made on the regulation of the financial industry, yet nothing is being done about regulating the price of oil. When is this crap going to end? I’m tire of ‘speculators’ determining how much money I pay for gas…

Flag Comment Posted by Allseaso on June 12, 2009 at 10:04 am

Everyone needs to recognize the market for fuel is not one based on Supply and Demand.  It is one manipulated by the oil companies that always seem to need to perform “maintenance” on their refineries during the summer months and the speculators that make huge amounts of $$ by bidding up the price of crude.  We should not feel good because it is cheaper than last year, but be enraged that our government is allowing consummers to be ripped off yet again!

Flag Comment Posted by Opinion8d on June 12, 2009 at 4:27 am

It’s clearly time for the price of oil to be regulated in America. Supply and demand would be one thing. Price gouging by greedy speculators is another. That is EXACTLY what happened last year and what is happening now.

Post a Comment(Requires free registration)

  • Please avoid offensive, vulgar, or hateful language.
  • Respect others.
  • Use the "Flag Comment" link when necessary.
  • See the Terms and Conditions for details.
Click here to post a comment.

 

Advertisement

Advertisement

Online Features
Blogs
DataCenter
Videos
Weekend
Times-Dispatch Shop
 

Advertisement