New home sales rise only 0.7 percent in August
DEAN HOFFMEYER/TIMES-DISPATCH
Analysts say housing supply and demand are coming into balance nationally.
Published: September 25, 2009
Updated: September 25, 2009
WASHINGTON — New U.S. home sales posted a tepid 0.7 percent increase last month, missing Wall Street expectations and providing more evidence that the housing market recovery remains tentative.
The Commerce Department said Friday sales inched up to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 429,000 from a downwardly revised 426,000 in July. Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters had expected a pace of 440,000.
While it was the fifth straight increase and the strongest report in 11 months, sales were 4.3 percent lower than the same month last year. Sales have risen 30 percent from the bottom in January, but are off about 70 percent from the peak of four years ago.
The report was the second straight disappointing sign for the U.S. housing market, which is struggling to emerge from the most severe bust in generations. On Thursday, the National Association of Realtors said sales of previously occupied homes, which make up the bulk of the market, dipped 2.7 percent last month.
While August’s housing reports have been disappointing, “we believe both remain on an upward trend,“ wrote David Resler, chief economist with Nomura Securities.
Builders continue to make severe cuts in prices to attract buyers. The median sales price of $195,200 was off 11.7 percent from $221,000 a year earlier, and 9.5 percent below July’s level of $215,600. That was the largest monthly drop on records dating to 1963.
There were 262,000 new homes for sale at the end of August, down more than 3 percent from July and the lowest in nearly 17 years. At the current sales pace, that represents 7.3 months of supply — the smallest amount since early 2007. The decline means builders have scaled back construction to the point where supply and demand are coming into balance.
Still, it’s taking more than a year to sell the homes on the market.
“No one ever said that the homebuilders were breaking out the bubbly and party hats and doing the cha-cha around town,“ wrote Jennifer Lee, economist with BMO Capital Markets.
Buyers, meanwhile, are rushing to take advantage of a federal tax credit that covers 10 percent of the home price, or up to $8,000 for first-time owners. Home sales must be completed by the end of November for buyers to qualify. Builders and real estate agents are pressing Congress for that credit to be extended.
Sales varied dramatically around the country. The best performance was in the West, where sales rose more than 12 percent, and the worst was in the Northeast, where sales sank more than 16 percent. They were unchanged in the South, and down nearly 6 percent in the Midwest.
Meanwhile, KB Home posted a smaller third-quarter loss of $66 million on Friday as new home orders increased and the builder cut costs. Though the results missed analysts’ expectations, KB Home said its new orders jumped 62 percent in the third quarter from the year before, with every region showing annual growth.
And fewer homebuyers backed out. The company’s cancellation rate dropped to 27 percent during the quarter, compared with 51 percent a year ago.
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Reader Reactions
another lost Conservative watching his purple clouds in the sky and keep blaming obama for this mess.. this time last year your fearless leader was just finishing putting his sunday on his sundae….
Builders have not scaled back construction. The banks have refused to make loans to let builders meet the demand.
Supply and demand are nowhere near in balance. Demand for new housing is out there. New homes that are being built are selling for less than they have in years. But supply is nil because the banks still won’t make construction loans.
If Obama would stay in Washington for one day and do his job instead of feeding his ego 24/7, and maybe get the banks off their bleeps, the home building industry would have a chance at recovery. But since it’s more important for The Great Leader to chair a UN meeting and demand the teachers union write songs that praise Him than help an industry that provides millions of jobs, it’s doubtful there will be construction loans being made anytime soon. Unemployment will continue to hover around 10 percent and the economy will continue to flounder.
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