Richmond-area home sales rise, prices drop
BOB BROWN/TIMES-DISPATCH
Homes recently sold in Tree Hill Farm, a new development in eastern Henrico County.
Published: October 23, 2009
Updated: October 23, 2009
Home sales in the Richmond area in the third-quarter rose slightly from the same period a year ago, according to a report released this morning by the Virginia Association of Realtors.
But the median price here, with half the houses selling for more and half for less, dropped 11.7 percent to $202,322.
Statewide, the number of home sales, both exisiting and new, declined 2.2 percent from a year ago, while the median fell slightly to $251,324.
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Home sales rose in part due to the $8000.00 tax credit being given to first time buyers.
When there are no more government give away programs, will there be more sub-prime mortgages on over inflated houses pushed through by companys like Countrywide Mortgage?
The greed of some real estate agents and mortgage companys is unbelievable.
Glad to say that I was not sub-prime and did not try to live beyond my means.
My mortgage was paid off in 13 years and 8 months. Thank God I had a decent job and know how to tighten the proverbial belt.
If the number of sales is being bumped up by first time buyers taking advantage of the $8,000 tax credit, then obviously the median selling price will be lower. This makes sense.
Calm down boys.
There are lies, damn lies, and statistics. Unless we do a rigorous analysis of the raw data, we have to leave the observations and inferences at a high level:
we’re finally starting to see price elasticity ... houses will move if they’re in the buyers’ economic “sweetspot”.
The VAR always puts a positive-for-them spin on any data. What I’d really like to know is ... how does that $202,322 median price compare with its assessed value? Maybe the RTD reporters will get off their butts and do some real work and tell us that.
In my community of 1,100 homes, transaction prices of the 81 units sold YTD have averaged 16% below their assessed values. To me, that’s not a reflection of a decaying market but a broken Assessors Office. [The full-year 2008 number was -11%.] And the average price is 9% lower than last year.
With the layoffs,median wages and work benefits dropping. The cost of a new home should be around Fifty thousand dollars. When it matches peoples wages the market will pick up again.
Posted by ( MrCobray ) on October 23, 2009 at 2:24 pm
Many will owe more on their house than what it is worth, and in all accounts they will not want to continue with the payments or leave it for the bank to find a new owner at the banks loss.
I feel that we are just starting to see the beginning of this now.
The real estate industry has tried and has been somewhat successful in shifting the blame which was started by agents telling the sellers to ask inflated prices, the appraisers who fell in line to affirm the inflated price, the loan broker who provided the unsuspecting buyer the mortgage. All of these were self serving as they received their cut up front leaving a worthless mortgage that was then shoved off on the big banks and other financial companies hid in with the “packages” that still can’t be deciphered. The ones hurt were the buyers and the banks who ended up with these worthless sub-par mortgages. The buyers were at a disadvantage as they could have got their own appraisal but they would just have been paying another member of the corrupt appraisal industry for an incorrect appraisal. Buyers should have been knowledgeable enough to know when the funny mortgages were offered to them to be wary and suspicious. The buyer should have known how much house they could afford. After all it’s not just the principal and interest it’s the taxes,insurance and upkeep that has to be considered.
So now the needed correction of the market is in progress. We will be much better off once completed.
You are right Jack in what you are saying, however I feel we may see additional homes at a loss or being dumped by the owner because of this.
Many will owe more on their house than what it is worth, and in all accounts they will not want to continue with the payments or leave it for the bank to find a new owner at the banks loss.
I feel that we are just starting to see the beginning of this now.
It’s obvious that you are rooting for people who paid $750,000 for a home to sell it for less than that.
If they paid $750,000 for a house that was actually worth less then they should be stuck with the loss in value.
I know exactly what a median is, which is why Jack is incorrect in saying that overinflated home values are correcting themselves. If all of these homes bought in the area this quarter were in the cities worst neighborhoods and the median is still $200,000+ then the market is hardly correcting itself. The point of my response is that this article does not expand on whether home values have stabilized or not….only trying to bring more bad news to the table by trying to compare “median” home values vs. last year at this time. Without further data, the median sales number means absolutely nothing so why try to act like you are happy about more bad news, Jack? It’s obvious that you are rooting for people who paid $750,000 for a home to sell it for less than that.
udontknowjack might want to change their screen name to idontknowjack. While you may be right it is difficult to say home values are declining because the median sales price has dropped you don’t know anything about what a median is. All a median price says is that half the homes purchased were valued below 202,322 and have were above that value. It says nothing about what those actual values were above or below the median.
To really understand what is going on the actual homes in the mix would have to be evaluated. But I believe it is safe to say home values have declined. As they do more people are deciding either to be a first time buyer or upgrade, mix that with some new distress selling as the next wave of repos come on the market. You get increased house sales.
The writer got what he wanted out of you….to think that home VALUES declined compared to the same period last year. While the values may have also dropped, this article only states that people are buying homes that COST less than the same period last year. Did you ever think that people might be laid off and wanted to get out of a higher payment so they bought less house? People aren’t buying the $600,000 homes but that doesn’t mean there aren’t any out there. It’s kind of hard for the median home purchase to be much higher or it would mean half the people are buying $100,000 homes and the other half is buying $400,000+ homes.
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