Put a Price On Carbon

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CHARLOTTESVILLE All of us who recognize that man-made emissions are creating the climate crisis also realize that the surest way to reduce and, ultimately, eliminate the problem is to put a price on fossil carbon itself. For the past eight years the only solution deemed politically viable was a cap-and-trade system because Americans aren't thought to be mature enough to use the term "taxes" in debates about public policy. Well, much has changed since Nov. 3, 2008.

What hasn't changed is the need for speed. We are already above what many now consider the safe level of atmospheric CO2

-- 350 PPM.

This week Gov. Tim Kaine announced four new incentives "to promote green jobs as part of his Renew Virginia initiative." Each one of these initiatives, however, will fail unless there is a sure and rising price for carbon. If Virginians want to see a new green economy that creates energy security and new jobs, and begins to slow climate-killing carbon emissions, we must be concerned about the carbon pricing mechanism itself.

If speed matters then we should realize that cap-and-trade is a formula for delay. For starters, there is no consensus on how CO 2 allocations (the key to capping carbon emissions) will be distributed: free to big polluters, auctioned freely, or some sort of hybrid system? What doesn't even exist today is a working U.S. market for these carbon allocations -- and who thinks that, from the ashes of the financial markets, a new dependable system will soon arise? The much smaller carbon trading system recently inaugurated in New England has taken years to work out. The one in the EU also took years to work out and a recent GAO report says that it has failed: CO2 emissions are worse now than they were in 1990.

ANY FORM OF carbon pricing will provide incentives to develop alternative energy, even prices set on carbon by a cap-and-trade system. The real incentive, however, for such Innovation-creating investment is the long-term assurance of a stable premium on fossil fuels. Look at the dampening effect on fuel-saving investments the current swing in gasoline prices is having. Supporters of cap-and-trade point to the successful effort to reduce SO2 and NOx through such a mechanism. Yet price volatility -- on average 17 percent a month -- was a hallmark of that very limited system. Prices swings in the European Union's system are equally volatile.

Cap-and trade suffers from many other defects as well, but since speed in responding is the goal, our leaders should be urging a national, if not global, direct tax on carbon. Administered far upstream, at the refinery, mine head, natural gas processor, or port of entry, the tax is transparent, can be collected with no additional bureaucracy, and can be implemented in six months.

Economists who have studied this subject believe that, since virtually all the products that will be covered by a carbon tax are already being taxed in one way or another, a national tax could easily cover 90 percent of the sources of carbon emissions. Just last week, Rex Tillerson, the CEO of Exxon, called for carbon taxes as a "more direct, more transparent, and more effective approach" than cap-and trade.

A BIG PROBLEM with cap-and-trade is that no one wants to discuss openly what happens to the revenues derived from that system: Do they reward existing polluters, do they become another government (albeit greatly diminished because of middle-man profits) revenue stream, or is there some other way that these funds will be used?

Carbon taxes can be structured to be revenue neutral if that is what the politics demand, but whatever happens to the revenue stream will be a decision by our elected leaders and not by shadowy, unregulated financial markets.

Thomas Friedman, in Hot, Flat and Crowded, when comparing cap-and-trade to carbon taxes, opts for the latter, saying: "We have to go from 'this is the best we can do' to 'this is how we are going to do it best.'"

That is the formula for creating jobs, reducing carbon emissions, and restoring America's leadership role as we seek to save our planet in peril.



Al Weed is the chairman of Public Policy Virginia, a Charlottesville-based think tank working on climate change issues. Contact him at (434) 970-2232 or .

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Flag Comment Posted by Jerry on January 16, 2009 at 2:12 pm

The carbon tax concept is analogous to Hoover’s increase of income tax in 1929.  This the economy does not need.  The carbon tax would come down to the public in the increased cost of food, clothing, shleter and anything else transported or related to oil.  The oil companies are going to pass along the cost to the consumer.

Consumption of oil would not dramatically decline, which translates to sending American dollars to Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela and other nations.  We are not going to move to electric cars and the like in the near future.  The infrastructure for electric and other means of fueling is not there.

The idea of clean coal usage makes far more sense.  The Germans during WWII made their gasoline from coal.  The infrastructure for oil fueled vehicles is in place in this country.  We could move into a “Manhattan Project” to work out the problems with the use of coal.  Nuclear power could be utilized for the electric grid as a proven method of non carbon emission power generation.  Again, with innovation capabilities of this nation the waste storage or reprocessing could be handled.  Coal and nuclear power would enable this country to retain dollars and be energy independent.  Funding could be accomplished by lowering corporate tax rates to allow hiring and expansion and to lower capital gains so the public would have more disposable income.

Flag Comment Posted by Allan L on January 16, 2009 at 10:07 am

Thank you, Mr. Weed, for finally an honest discussion of the “T-word”…..taxes.

“Cap and trade” is a code word for “higher costs for a societal change” which was in the past called…..taxes.  “C&T” is a creation of 3-decade-old frenzy of “government and taxes are bad” and “deregulation and free markets will solve the problem” actions at all levels…...government, corporate, and the individual. Thank you Mr. Reagan and Mr. Allen but what have you really created ?  I think the last 6 months tell us all we need to know about this subject.

What happened to the “good ole days” when politicians and governmental officials (don’t leave them out….it ain’t all the elected folks) had honest debates and good decisions about societal needs (sales tax for a new idea…community colleges; gas taxes for an Interstate Highway system, Medicaid and Medicare; on and on) ? 

As Mr. Weed points out, the “price point”  for gasoline in 2008 shows that price alone can change behavior……..not a government program nor an environmental movement……..price alone.  Trouble is, all that extra “pricing” went to the gasoline makers and the oil holders and precious little to a system that might solve the new national challenge…..a carbon-based system of living. 

As Sting says, “history teaches us nothing”.  A multi-century look could show us how we switched from “sails to steam” (thank you, JB) and then coal and oil; nuclear was a world curse switched to be a world answer.  So, have we gone full circle [“natural” (wind) to biomass (wood) to carbon (oil and gas) to mineral (nuclear) ] back to “natural” again ?  If so, who is going to decide this and when ?

The Inconvenient Truth is that we simply have not had that dialogue yet.  “Cap-and-trade” or even just taxes delays the inevitable decision…..how do we change out of a carbon based system…..and into what….and how do we do so most effectively ?  By chance and market forces ?  By government mandate ?  Both (a “hybrid”)?  Neither ?
Even with the “new hope” of a new Administration, are we capable of this task ?

Too damn bad we have not had this same dialogue about terrorism and foreign wars.  I bet a “war tax” would change a lot of thinking…...real quick.

                Allan Lassiter
                Glen Allen, Va.

PS.  I forwarded to Mr. Weed an article I read the same day as his column.  The Edison Institute (the electric lobby) just announced its support for “carbon limits”, including C&T, taxes or a hybrid.  Mr. Weed quoted Exxon’s recent support for carbon taxes, per se.  Can all this really be true….and isn’t the timing——just prior to Jan. 20—-intriguing ?  RAL

Flag Comment Posted by Dave on January 15, 2009 at 12:30 pm

What’s the carbon footprint for ‘horse-hockey’? ‘All of us who recognize’ means all of us who are smarter and better than you are or anyone who has the bad taste to disagree with us. ‘The need for speed’ means we have to railroad something through before the Democrats lose control of the legislature. I know this much, the Earth has been around a couple of billion years and another year or two shouldn’t matter much. ‘Incentive… for innovation-creating investment’ means forking over tax funds for underperforming companies to keep them afloat not because they are economically viable, but politically viable. ‘Think tank on climate change issues’ means a liberal lobbying group trying to extort ever more funds for ever more questionable initiatives.

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