It’s Time to Bring Majority Rule to the American Election Process

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Virginia's Democratic gubernatorial primary made all sorts of national news last month. The more typical stories equated former Democratic National Committee chairman Terry McAuliffe's defeat with the end of the Clinton era. Yet, despite the abundance of coverage, one significant detail has been left out of the generally agreed upon "story" about Virginia's recent gubernatorial primary -- the losing candidates received more votes than the winner.

To be fair, Creigh Deeds did, in fact, roll up an impressive primary victory. But to be just as fair, his two opponents won more votes than he did. Together, Terry McAuliffe and Brian Moran won just over 50 percent of the vote; Deeds, a bit under 50 percent. Is this splitting hairs? Maybe -- but it's more like splitting votes.

Whenever a majority of voters casts ballots for losing candidates --and it happens far more often than we care to admit -- should be a time of thoughtful reflection in the "world's greatest democracy."

Perhaps, because of the circumstances, the Deeds-McAuliffe-Moran result isn't that shocking. Deeds, after all, almost won a majority, and he outpolled his nearest competitor by more than 20 points. But what if, say, Deeds had won the three-way race with only 37 percent of the vote and 63 percent of voters supported losing candidates?

That's exactly what happened in Tazewell County, in a Board of Supervisors primary held on the same day as the gubernatorial election. Although the Tazewell race certainly didn't draw the national press, its winner, David R. Woodard II, joins the ranks of George W. Bush (2000) and Bill Clinton (1992 and 1996) as candidates who were elected by a minority of voters.

Democracy means a lot of things to a lot of different people; still, most Americans would probably equate it with majority rule. But majority rule is not a given in this country. Many elections are decided by a simple plurality vote, meaning that the winner doesn't need a majority of votes, just more votes than any one else receives.

Ensuring a majority vote can be done with runoff elections. Runoffs, these days, tend to come in two flavors. One is the two-round runoff: All candidates compete in the first round and the top two vote-getters proceed to a second election -- usually held months later. The other flavor, an instant runoff, eliminates the need for two separate elections by determining a majority winner in just one election.

Instant Runoff Voting (or IRV) simulates the traditional two-round runoff by asking voters for their back-up choices, in case their preferred candidate doesn't make the cut. Voters rank the candidates in order of preference -- 1, 2, 3 -- and if their preferred candidate doesn't make it to the final round, their vote counts for their second choice.

Instant Runoff Voting has a number of advantages over two-round runoffs, some more obvious than others. Wherever IRV can combine two rounds of balloting into one and eliminate unnecessary elections, it can save cash-strapped municipalities some serious money. Elections don't come cheap. One shudders to think of the millions and millions of dollars that Virginia's taxpayers just shelled out to draw a scant 6 percent of registered voters to the polls.

IRV can boost this kind of anemic voter turnout. Negative campaigns, as a rule, drive down voter turnout. Instant Runoff Voting, on the other hand, tends to encourage more civil, positive campaigning, which draws more voters to the polls. That's because, with IRV, candidates have an incentive to make nice with their opponents: they know that often they can't put together majority support without the backing (or No. 2 rankings) of at least some of their opponents' supporters.

By all accounts, McAuliffe and Moran spent time pounding each other in an attempt to carve up the very same constituency. Wouldn't it have made more sense for them to cooperate -- especially since their party needs to unite once the primary is over?

It may sound far-fetched, but that kind of thing actually happens in places using IRV. News reports -- from San Francisco's initial use of IRV in 2004 to Burlington, Vermont's, 2009 mayoral election -- confirm that IRV improves the tenor of political campaigns.

Americans are quick to challenge the legitimacy of foreign elections as demonstrated by our current preoccupation with the results from Iran. We would do well to take a good look at how ours are conducted, and see if our practices mirror our lofty ideals.



Blair Bobier is deputy director of the New America Foundation's Political Reform Program. Contact the author at .

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Reader Reactions

Flag Comment Posted by kathydopp on July 08, 2009 at 2:23 pm

I am a registered member of the Green party who strongly opposed Instant Runoff Voting because it is designed to keep 3rd political party candidates from interfering with the two main parties and not to help 3rd party candidates win elections.

I am also strongly against IRV because it is a fundamentally inequitable method of counting votes that does *not* find majority winners and does *not* solve the spoiler problem, and has many negative side effects.

For more information, please read this lengthy but easy to read report:

Realities Mar Instant Runoff Voting
18 Flaws and 4 Benefits
http://electionmathematics.org/ucvAnalysis/US/RCV-IRV/InstantRunoffVotingFlaws.pdf

To see that IRV also costs more, not less than the better top-two runoff or primary/general elections read this:

http://www.instantrunoffvoting.us/costs.html

Please get informed on the realities of IRV.

Flag Comment Posted by Scott Burger on July 08, 2009 at 8:06 am

The Green Party has advocated voting reforms like IRV, and will continue to do so. Despite comments from naysayers, IRV does work, does save money, and is used with great succes elsewhere in the country and the world to elect leaders on local, state, and national levels. The duopololy (the Republicrats) have the most to lose from IRV and I am sure they sponsor most of the opposition to reform.

Flag Comment Posted by vvactivist on July 05, 2009 at 7:27 am

IRV does not save money in a single election vs. a traditional general election and runoff if you honestly keep track of the increased costs of the more complex election process: training and support for election administrators and poll workers, software and hardware (VA voting systems aren’t certified for IRV election methods), documentation and voter education. 

The neighboring state of MD has considered IRV in 2001, 2006 and 2008, rejecting it as more expensive than traditional methods based on costs that ranged from an extra $3.50 per registered voter in 2006 with DRE machines to to $3.10 per registered voter in 2008 for op-scan paper ballots - not including voter education costs of $0.48 per registered voter which seem on the low side.  The lower cost in 2008 doesn’t include voting equipment and sosftware because there is no federally certified system that can handle the many different types of IRV elections out there. If we used those costs per registered voter (CPRV) for NC’s 6 million voters, it would have cost $21 million to implement IRV and $3 million every year for voter education to save $4 million for a statewide runoff that only happens once every 4 years - and NC would never break even.

Jurisdictions that have used IRV have reported even higher costs per registered voter. Pierce County WA spent over $2 million for a little over 300K voters - or a little over $5 per registered voter.  Because of the higher costs and complexity, 2/3 of Pierce County voters support dumping IRV after only one use.  They will join voters in Aspen CO, Burlington, VT, and San Francisco who will be considering measures to dump IRV.  So it doesn’t work as well as advocates say it does, and doesn’t save as much money either. 

It also doesn’t always ensure a majority winner in a single election.  Cary NC voters used IRV in an election experiment in 2007.  After the complext IRV counting method wasn’t followed in detail by the Wake Board of Election, the winner was declared with 1401 our of 3022 votes.  Elected leaders of Cary decided not to be election lab rats again - and didn’t even seriously consider IRV for 2009.  Our own State Board of Elections felt IRV was too risky to use in 2008 for statewide elections because it violated state election laws and federal regulations.  So don’t let IRV backers tell you it could have been used in your recent statewide primary elections - they aren’t telling you the whole truth about IRV!

Flag Comment Posted by kathydopp on July 05, 2009 at 12:20 am

BLAIR BOBIER is mistaken. 

IRV does *not* find majority winners because most often many voters’ ballots are exhausted prior to the final IRV counting round.  In other words, unlike in real runoff elections, in IRV many voters are prohibited from participating in the final counting round.

The truth is that IRV often eliminates the majority-favored candidate in an early round and elects candidates who a majority of voters oppose.

There is also no evidence that IRV boosts voter turnout and most voters do not realize that a large group of voters’ 2nd choice candidate is never counted, whose 1st choice candidate loses the election in the final counting round and that IRV treats voters’ ballots unequally.

IRV also takes away the right of voters to know the effect of a vote because a voter may actually hurt the chances of the favorite candidate from winning by ranking him/her first—and help the chances of the favorite by ranking him/her last or not at all.

Please read this long, but easy-to-read report to learn the truth about IRV:

http://electionmathematics.org/ucvAnalysis/US/RCV-IRV/InstantRunoffVotingFlaws.pdf

IRV is designed to prevent small 3rd party candidates from interfering with the 2-party system, but IRV does not solve the spoiler problem in the case of a 3rd candidate who is viable.

Flag Comment Posted by joycemccloy on July 04, 2009 at 11:37 pm

Instant Runoff Voting does not work as well as advertised, and has unintended consequences . Promises that IRV will save money, reduce negative campaigning, simplify elections, or provide a majority all in one election - are just not true. IRV is a vastly different way to cast, count and value ballots. Implementation is complicated and expensive and damaging to election transparency and the confidence in election results. Several places that have tried Instant Runoff Voting are ditching it or moving to ditch it. Pierce County Washington’s auditor says their county can save $600,000 next year if they ditch IRV.
http://instantrunoff.blogspot.com/2009/06/truth-about-instant-runoff-voting-it.html

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